Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 60.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 64.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 58.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Hertl
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
50.7% (552)
+6.3%
Power Play
64.9% (188)
61.5% (13)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
43.5% (69)
+0.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Hertl shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Hertl
Johnston
Home
59.2% (463)
50.3% (342)
Away
56.0% (520)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Hertl
Johnston
P1
56.3%
54.4%
P2
55.4%
47.2%
P3
60.5%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%