Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 45.7% vs Nosek 51.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 59.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Barbashev
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barbashev
Nosek
Last 6: Barbashev 3-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Barbashev
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
52.7% (355)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
44.0% (25)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Barbashev is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Barbashev shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Nosek
Home
40.6% (101)
52.8% (214)
Away
46.6% (88)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Barbashev
Nosek
P1
43.3%
54.2%
P2
41.1%
53.1%
P3
45.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
34.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
43.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |