Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Frederic 45.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 64.4%
Defensive zone
Frederic 57.8%
Neutral zone
Frederic 59.7%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Novak
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Novak
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
39.8% (88)
+3.4%
On even strength, Novak has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Novak shoots left. Frederic is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Novak
Frederic
Home
50.7% (71)
37.8% (45)
Away
37.1% (70)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Novak
Frederic
P1
44.7%
32.4%
P2
50.0%
45.9%
P3
38.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
35.5%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |