Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Frederic 45.7% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.1%
Defensive zone
Frederic 55.8%
Neutral zone
Frederic 53.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Novak
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
42.6% (195)
+0.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
64.3% (14)
-23.4%
On power play, Frederic has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Novak shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Novak
Frederic
Home
40.9% (110)
48.6% (107)
Away
44.5% (110)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Novak
Frederic
P1
39.1%
37.5%
P2
43.9%
44.8%
P3
44.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
25.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%