Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.5% vs Frederic 46.5% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 69.1%
Defensive zone
Frederic 71.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.0%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Novak
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (460)
45.8% (262)
-5.1%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
57.1% (7)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
36.4% (22)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Frederic has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Novak shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Novak
Frederic
Home
47.0% (236)
44.1% (152)
Away
37.9% (264)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Novak
Frederic
P1
43.1%
41.7%
P2
43.1%
48.9%
P3
40.1%
45.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%