Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.3% vs Bertuzzi 42.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bertuzzi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 65.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Novak
Bertuzzi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,539)
41.6% (202)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (133)
34.1% (41)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
45.3% (814)
51.2% (123)
Away
40.6% (860)
28.7% (122)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
43.9%
44.0%
P2
42.8%
37.8%
P3
41.7%
37.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |