Scouting Report
Tyler Bertuzzi holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Bertuzzi 48.2% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.5%
Neutral zone
Bertuzzi 51.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Novak
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
47.4% (76)
-6.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
42.9% (21)
+4.0%
On even strength, Bertuzzi has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
42.6% (195)
58.0% (50)
Away
41.2% (216)
34.0% (47)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
42.4%
46.4%
P2
39.2%
36.1%
P3
44.7%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
46.4%