Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Bertuzzi 45.5% (+17.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 62.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Novak
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
33.3% (15)
+9.9%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
14.3% (7)
+33.5%
On power play, Novak has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
50.7% (71)
41.7% (12)
Away
37.1% (70)
9.1% (11)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
44.7%
36.4%
P2
50.0%
20.0%
P3
38.9%
14.3%
Final 5 min
35.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
26.1%