Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.5% vs Bertuzzi 47.8% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 50.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Novak
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (460)
36.4% (11)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
0.0% (2)
+61.5%
On power play, Novak has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
47.0% (236)
66.7% (6)
Away
37.9% (264)
0.0% (7)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
43.1%
16.7%
P2
43.1%
40.0%
P3
40.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.6%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
30.8%