Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.6% vs Bertuzzi 46.2% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bertuzzi 51.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 61.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Novak
Bertuzzi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Bertuzzi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (384)
16.7% (12)
+27.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
40.0% (5)
+18.8%
On even strength, Novak has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Novak shoots left. Bertuzzi is 23.1% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Novak
Bertuzzi
Home
46.5% (202)
40.0% (10)
Away
42.5% (200)
0.0% (7)
By Period
Novak
Bertuzzi
P1
49.2%
20.0%
P2
44.2%
37.5%
P3
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Bertuzzi
46.0%▲
41.0%
23.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |