Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Johnson 50.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Larkin
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Larkin
Johnson
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Larkin
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
51.8% (548)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
51.7% (58)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
40.7% (113)
+8.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnson
Home
51.4% (652)
53.6% (371)
Away
48.5% (662)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Larkin
Johnson
P1
49.1%
50.9%
P2
52.0%
50.2%
P3
48.0%
48.9%
OT
52.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |