Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 53.6% vs Gourde 49.5% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 59.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 73.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Johnson
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
61.9% (42)
49.1% (731)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.3% (81)
+1.3%
On even strength, Johnson has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Johnson shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Johnson
Gourde
Home
52.0% (25)
50.9% (479)
Away
69.2% (26)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Johnson
Gourde
P1
72.0%
51.2%
P2
66.7%
49.8%
P3
27.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%