Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 70.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Johnson
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (78)
49.1% (847)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
79.5% (44)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
39.5% (81)
+60.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Johnson shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johnson
Gourde
Home
50.9% (57)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.8% (56)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Johnson
Gourde
P1
44.1%
54.7%
P2
59.4%
45.0%
P3
52.3%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%