Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johnson wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 45.7% vs Gourde 48.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 64.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Johnson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Johnson
Gourde
Last 7: Johnson 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Johnson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Johnson
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (285)
48.0% (914)
-3.4%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
54.2% (48)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.9% (123)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Johnson shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johnson
Gourde
Home
50.8% (179)
50.2% (512)
Away
37.8% (172)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Johnson
Gourde
P1
41.3%
50.0%
P2
41.8%
45.3%
P3
49.6%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |