Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Johnson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Johnson
Gourde
Last 7: Johnson 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Johnson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Johnson
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,396)
48.4% (4,954)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.6% (885)
57.4% (376)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (707)
39.9% (554)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Johnson shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Johnson
Gourde
Home
52.5% (3,460)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
46.8% (3,528)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Johnson
Gourde
P1
50.1%
49.9%
P2
50.6%
47.4%
P3
48.4%
47.5%
OT
42.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |