Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Seguin 57.4% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 76.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 83.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Cirelli
Seguin
Last 8: Cirelli 1-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Cirelli
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Cirelli
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
59.6% (736)
-11.8%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
61.5% (65)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
47.6% (124)
-5.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Seguin
Home
45.4% (469)
60.1% (461)
Away
49.7% (445)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
46.3%
59.1%
P2
46.3%
58.9%
P3
49.6%
57.3%
OT
46.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2019 | OT | 02:28 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |