Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Seguin 51.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 64.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 57.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 60.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Cirelli
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Seguin
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Cirelli
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
62.1% (29)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (53)
16.7% (6)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Cirelli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Cirelli shoots left. Seguin is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
By Period
Cirelli
Seguin
P1
55.0%
57.1%
P2
44.8%
54.5%
P3
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |