Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 55.4% vs Jost 42.2% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 90.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 78.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Seguin
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Seguin
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (712)
40.8% (314)
+15.7%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
37.5% (8)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (49)
39.4% (104)
+5.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Seguin shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Seguin
Jost
Home
58.5% (402)
42.8% (264)
Away
53.8% (426)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Seguin
Jost
P1
58.4%
37.4%
P2
54.7%
40.5%
P3
54.1%
43.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |