Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 54.2% vs Jost 40.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 64.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Seguin
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Seguin
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Seguin
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (713)
41.8% (388)
+13.2%
Power Play
56.7% (104)
0.0% (3)
+56.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
21.7% (60)
+25.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Seguin shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Seguin
Jost
Home
56.2% (443)
42.6% (230)
Away
53.2% (427)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Seguin
Jost
P1
54.2%
43.2%
P2
52.9%
38.2%
P3
57.1%
34.6%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |