Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Seguin wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 53.6% vs Jost 40.5% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 95.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 92.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 92.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Seguin
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Seguin
Jost
Last 10: Seguin 8-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
2
Seguin
Jost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
1
Seguin
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
1
Seguin
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,071)
41.0% (2,014)
+12.7%
Power Play
55.9% (810)
34.2% (73)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (762)
35.3% (255)
+14.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Seguin shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Seguin
Jost
Home
55.9% (4,759)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
51.4% (4,885)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Seguin
Jost
P1
52.8%
38.5%
P2
53.3%
41.2%
P3
54.7%
40.9%
OT
54.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |