Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 52.5% vs Jost 45.0% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 73.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 60.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Seguin
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Seguin
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (201)
39.3% (84)
+13.9%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.0% (6)
-5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Seguin shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Seguin
Jost
Home
56.3% (126)
38.5% (52)
Away
50.5% (109)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Seguin
Jost
P1
44.3%
40.6%
P2
52.1%
38.9%
P3
62.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |