Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Seguin wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 54.5% vs Jost 40.7% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 87.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 92.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 91.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Seguin
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Seguin
Jost
Last 6: Seguin 5-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
0
Seguin
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Seguin
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,036)
38.5% (200)
+16.6%
Power Play
56.9% (174)
8.3% (12)
+48.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (230)
35.3% (17)
+16.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Seguin shoots right. Jost is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Seguin
Jost
Home
58.9% (703)
40.7% (113)
Away
51.0% (737)
32.8% (116)
By Period
Seguin
Jost
P1
54.5%
30.2%
P2
53.7%
35.1%
P3
57.0%
45.6%
OT
45.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |