Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 58.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 54.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Larkin
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
57.8% (626)
-6.1%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
63.6% (151)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
44.0% (141)
+4.2%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
52.4% (647)
54.4% (390)
Away
52.7% (643)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
52.2%
56.4%
P2
53.1%
58.7%
P3
51.7%
54.8%
OT
61.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |