Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.3% vs 58.7%). Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Trocheck 58.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Tavares
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Tavares
Trocheck
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Tavares
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Tavares
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
57.6% (1,061)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
65.1% (338)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
49.5% (101)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Tavares
Trocheck
Home
57.5% (668)
61.8% (735)
Away
61.1% (684)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Tavares
Trocheck
P1
58.0%
57.7%
P2
60.1%
57.9%
P3
61.0%
60.4%
OT
27.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 04:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 00:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |