Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (690)
50.8% (783)
-4.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
60.0% (95)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
51.8% (83)
-13.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
47.7% (405)
54.9% (506)
Away
42.8% (435)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
49.4%
52.3%
P2
43.0%
50.8%
P3
43.7%
52.7%
OT
28.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |