Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Vincent Trocheck
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 84.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
55.0% (956)
-9.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
59.8% (266)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
56.3% (64)
-11.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
Home
46.1% (336)
57.7% (673)
Away
44.2% (346)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Trocheck
P1
49.1%
55.4%
P2
45.3%
55.6%
P3
42.0%
56.4%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |