Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 79.6%
Defensive zone Mittelstadt 83.6%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 83.1%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Mittelstadt Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 6 (7 meetings)
1
6
Mittelstadt Karlsson
Last 7: Mittelstadt 1-6 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Mittelstadt Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Mittelstadt Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt Karlsson
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
56.3% (739)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
58.6% (181)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
47.7% (583)
56.5% (462)
Away
46.4% (541)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
57.1%
P2
46.2%
55.2%
P3
45.5%
56.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
47.1%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
56.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 14, 2024 3 09:59 Defensive William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 2 14:51 Offensive William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 2 05:22 Offensive William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 1 17:06 Offensive William Karlsson
Mar 2, 2024 1 18:53 Defensive William Karlsson
Mar 2, 2024 1 04:43 Neutral William Karlsson
Dec 15, 2023 1 19:24 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt