Connor McDavid vs William Karlsson
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Karlsson 46.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 65.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
McDavid
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Karlsson
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
46.5% (744)
-5.8%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
16.7% (18)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.0% (149)
+5.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
McDavid shoots left. Karlsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
McDavid
Karlsson
Home
42.7% (323)
44.0% (425)
Away
39.5% (281)
47.1% (486)
By Period
McDavid
Karlsson
P1
42.3%
49.7%
P2
37.3%
41.4%
P3
43.4%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |