Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 85.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 94.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 86.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 89.5%
10.5%
89.5%
Mercer
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mercer
Karlsson
Last 5: Mercer 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
51.4% (735)
-16.0%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
63.5% (115)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
42.9% (133)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
39.9% (283)
52.3% (524)
Away
31.3% (307)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
37.7%
50.7%
P2
32.1%
51.4%
P3
37.7%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |