Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Eller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Karlsson
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
47.2% (786)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.5% (11)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
35.6% (163)
+3.5%
On power play, Eller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
47.5% (421)
46.4% (478)
Away
46.8% (462)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
47.8%
44.8%
P2
47.3%
45.6%
P3
46.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |