Nick Bjugstad vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 98.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 85.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 89.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 90.9%
9.1%
90.9%
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
6
(24 meetings)
18
6
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bjugstad
Karlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
1
Bjugstad
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
1
Bjugstad
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
55.3% (897)
-5.9%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
61.1% (113)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
50.8% (132)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Home
46.5% (480)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.9% (628)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Bjugstad
Karlsson
P1
48.7%
55.8%
P2
45.6%
55.6%
P3
49.1%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |