Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 85.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 72.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Steel
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Steel
Karlsson
Last 10: Steel 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
8
0
Steel
Karlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
7
6
Steel
Karlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (638)
52.9% (719)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.3% (63)
53.5% (101)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
45.2% (126)
-2.8%
On power play, Steel has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Steel shoots left. Karlsson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Steel
Karlsson
Home
47.3% (349)
54.1% (547)
Away
53.0% (385)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Steel
Karlsson
P1
51.2%
49.5%
P2
49.8%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
43.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |