Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 50.4% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 83.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Monahan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Monahan
Karlsson
Last 10: Monahan 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
0
Monahan
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Monahan
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
1
Monahan
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,063)
48.9% (662)
+2.1%
Power Play
49.4% (314)
46.7% (107)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
41.2% (68)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Monahan shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Monahan
Karlsson
Home
53.8% (705)
46.1% (401)
Away
47.0% (702)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Monahan
Karlsson
P1
47.3%
46.6%
P2
53.9%
49.5%
P3
49.6%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |