Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 48.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 69.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 64.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Hartman
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hartman
Johnston
Last 6: Hartman 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (520)
52.6% (696)
-4.5%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
52.3% (88)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
42.4% (125)
+5.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Hartman shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Hartman
Johnston
Home
48.3% (360)
52.8% (458)
Away
47.0% (230)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Hartman
Johnston
P1
48.5%
48.9%
P2
45.2%
52.3%
P3
49.6%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |