Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Johnston wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnston 48.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 65.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Johnston
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Johnston
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Johnston
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Johnston
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnston
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (623)
47.2% (654)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (63)
45.0% (20)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
32.2% (87)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Johnston shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Johnston
Gourde
Home
47.6% (351)
44.1% (322)
Away
48.9% (370)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Johnston
Gourde
P1
49.6%
42.4%
P2
47.3%
49.8%
P3
48.0%
44.3%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |