Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Johnston wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnston 44.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 83.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 79.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Johnston
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Johnston
Gourde
Last 6: Johnston 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
4
1
Johnston
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
0
Johnston
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnston
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (318)
49.1% (847)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
79.5% (44)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
39.5% (81)
+23.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Johnston shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johnston
Gourde
Home
40.5% (168)
50.1% (491)
Away
46.1% (167)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Johnston
Gourde
P1
46.9%
54.7%
P2
40.4%
45.0%
P3
41.9%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
43.3%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |