Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnston 50.1% vs Gourde 48.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Johnston
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Johnston
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnston
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Johnston
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnston
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (552)
48.0% (914)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
54.2% (48)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (69)
43.9% (123)
-0.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Johnston shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Johnston
Gourde
Home
50.3% (342)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.0% (292)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Johnston
Gourde
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
47.2%
45.3%
P3
49.4%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |