Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnston 51.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Johnston
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Johnston
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnston
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
0
Johnston
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnston
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (696)
51.2% (469)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (88)
42.9% (21)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (125)
37.5% (48)
+4.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Johnston shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Johnston
Gourde
Home
52.8% (458)
47.8% (301)
Away
49.4% (451)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Johnston
Gourde
P1
48.9%
47.3%
P2
52.3%
53.4%
P3
51.4%
48.6%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |