Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Gourde 45.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 54.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 80.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 64.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Horvat
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Horvat
Gourde
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
4
Horvat
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Horvat
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
47.2% (636)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
45.0% (20)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
32.2% (87)
+14.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Horvat shoots left. Gourde is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gourde
Home
58.1% (449)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.3% (421)
By Period
Horvat
Gourde
P1
59.2%
42.1%
P2
53.1%
50.2%
P3
55.8%
43.9%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Gourde
56.0%▲
47.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |