Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 70.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Schenn
Gourde
Last 7: Schenn 0-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Schenn
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schenn
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Schenn
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.1% (847)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
79.5% (44)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
39.5% (81)
+6.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
46.8% (494)
50.1% (491)
Away
46.3% (520)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
50.3%
54.7%
P2
47.0%
45.0%
P3
42.2%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |