Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.8%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 68.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Last 6: Mittelstadt 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
48.0% (914)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
54.2% (48)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
47.7% (583)
50.2% (512)
Away
46.4% (541)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
45.3%
P3
45.5%
48.6%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |