Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Gourde 49.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 83.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 78.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Cozens
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cozens
Gourde
Last 5: Cozens 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
49.1% (731)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
54.3% (81)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
48.2% (85)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Cozens
Gourde
Home
43.9% (410)
50.9% (479)
Away
47.2% (430)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Cozens
Gourde
P1
46.4%
51.2%
P2
41.6%
49.8%
P3
49.4%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |