Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 70.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Evans
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Evans
Gourde
Last 7: Evans 6-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.0% (914)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
54.2% (48)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
43.9% (123)
+2.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Evans
Gourde
Home
53.7% (581)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.5% (556)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Evans
Gourde
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
45.3%
P3
52.3%
48.6%
OT
46.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |