Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Gourde 48.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 70.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Duchene
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Duchene
Gourde
Last 9: Duchene 2-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
Duchene
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
49.0% (557)
+6.6%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
65.9% (44)
-20.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Duchene shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Duchene
Gourde
Home
54.7% (150)
49.0% (314)
Away
53.0% (151)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Duchene
Gourde
P1
51.1%
54.0%
P2
57.8%
44.6%
P3
52.4%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |