Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 58.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Backlund
Gourde
Last 10: Backlund 9-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
0
Backlund
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
49.1% (731)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
54.3% (81)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
48.2% (85)
-2.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
51.6% (653)
50.9% (479)
Away
49.3% (576)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
50.0%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
49.8%
P3
51.7%
47.5%
OT
53.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |