Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 60.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 88.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 78.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kadri
Gourde
Last 8: Kadri 7-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
1
Kadri
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
51.2% (469)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
42.9% (21)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
37.5% (48)
-2.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
46.5% (725)
47.8% (301)
Away
46.0% (739)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
47.2%
47.3%
P2
44.9%
53.4%
P3
46.3%
48.6%
OT
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |