Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Lowry 53.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
55.4% (675)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
83.3% (6)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
40.4% (89)
+10.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
53.5% (215)
54.5% (402)
Away
55.2% (306)
53.3% (368)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
57.7%
52.4%
P2
53.8%
56.0%
P3
51.6%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |