Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Lowry 53.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
55.3% (459)
+0.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
75.0% (4)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
41.4% (70)
+12.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
53.2% (173)
53.4% (268)
Away
55.9% (256)
54.0% (265)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
58.9%
52.1%
P2
54.9%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |