Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Lowry 51.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Henrique
Lowry
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Lowry
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
4
Henrique
Lowry
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
53.7% (933)
+3.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.7% (28)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
42.7% (227)
+2.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
56.4% (518)
53.0% (583)
Away
54.9% (492)
50.6% (605)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
56.0%
52.1%
P2
55.2%
51.8%
P3
56.2%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |