Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Lowry 51.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 35-35 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
35
(70 meetings)
35
35
Henrique
Lowry
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
20
8
Henrique
Lowry
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
17
Henrique
Lowry
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
10
Henrique
Lowry
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
52.8% (9,130)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
57.1% (455)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
44.9% (2,139)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
52.5% (6,418)
53.5% (5,893)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
49.6% (5,831)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
50.6%
51.5%
P2
51.4%
51.8%
P3
50.2%
51.4%
OT
40.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |