Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Lowry 49.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Henrique
Lowry
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
4
Henrique
Lowry
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Lowry
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
49.3% (1,064)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
67.7% (65)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.6% (251)
+4.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
56.4% (553)
50.2% (671)
Away
50.0% (530)
47.8% (709)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
51.7%
48.4%
P2
55.5%
50.1%
P3
52.5%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |